Atlantic Outlook

National Hurricane Center

After the lull in activity in the Atlantic Ocean over the past several days, the National Hurricane Center is identifying two possible areas of tropical storm formation.

With this satellite imagery, you can see the concentrated areas of storms that the National Hurricane Center is monitoring.

The area outlined in orange has a 30% chance of forming into a tropical storm within the next 48 hours. This large area of showers is associated with a surface low pressure system. It is located several hundred miles east of the Bahamas and will move north-northeast over the next few days.

The area outlined in yellow has a 10% chance of forming into a tropical storm within the next 48 hours. This area of thunderstorms is associated with a surface trough. Due to its origination around the Yucatan Peninsula, any formation would take longer than a typical tropical storm. Even though pressure is falling within this area, it would need more interaction with water in order to form and sustain to be a tropical storm.

Although the National Hurricane Center believes that it has a low chance of forming, a certain weather model shows differently.

As seen, this weather model shows it is in full form by late this weekend. While it is not the only weather model showing its formation, this particular model speeds it up faster than the rest. Nevertheless, this area in southeastern Mexico will receive heavy rainfall over the next several days.

~Meteorologist Heather Brinkmann